Slovakia · I Liga - Women · Matchweek 1114:00

14:00 UTC

Saturday, 31 October 2026

· Analysis updated 08:43 UTC

Slovan Bratislava W vs Spartak Myjava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.40 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 3.32 for Spartak Myjava W, a combined total of 6.73. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 95% for over 2.5 goals and 92% for both teams to score, with 3–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

59.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.40 – 3.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan Bratislava W home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Spartak Myjava W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Bratislava W win43%
Draw16%
Spartak Myjava W win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals98%
Over 2.5 goals95%
Over 3.5 goals89%
Both teams to score92%

Correct score

  • 3–34.8%
  • 3–24.3%
  • 2–34.3%
  • 4–34.1%
  • 3–44.0%

Recent form

Slovan Bratislava W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)

Spartak Myjava W

  • 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PAOK W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PAOK W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 8-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 1-5 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 0-4 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 2-1 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-11-19T17:30:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 1-1 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 1-4 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 1-2 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-04-26T09:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 1-0 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2024-11-23T10:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 3-4 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2024-09-14T16:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 4-0 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2024-06-01T09:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 2-1 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)

I Liga - Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Myjava W1010006030
2Slovan Bratislava W109014027
3Trenčín W10613719
4Z. Moravce-Vrable W10505-215
5Komárno W10424-814
6Tatran Prešov W10415-313
7Spartak Trnava W10415-1413
8Ružomberok W10307-169
9Dukla Banská Bystrica W10118-284
10Petržalka W10109-363

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 59.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 92% and over 2.5 goals at 95%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.