Slovakia · I Liga - Women · Matchweek 413:00

5 – 1

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 13:27 UTC

Slovan Bratislava W vs Tatran Prešov W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 1.60 for Tatran Prešov W, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slovan Bratislava W win

65.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.95 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan Bratislava W home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tatran Prešov W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slovan Bratislava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 16% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.95 goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 1.60 for Tatran Prešov W, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Bratislava W win65%
Draw16%
Tatran Prešov W win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 2–17.4%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 4–15.3%

Recent form

Slovan Bratislava W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)

Tatran Prešov W

  • 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Trenčín W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

I Liga - Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Myjava W1010006030
2Slovan Bratislava W109014027
3Trenčín W10613719
4Z. Moravce-Vrable W10505-215
5Komárno W10424-814
6Tatran Prešov W10415-313
7Spartak Trnava W10415-1413
8Ružomberok W10307-169
9Dukla Banská Bystrica W10118-284
10Petržalka W10109-363

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava W win, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.