· Analysis updated 15:24 UTC
Slovan Bratislava W vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.46 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 1.39 for Z. Moravce-Vrable W, a combined total of 5.85. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slovan Bratislava W win
85.6% probability
Expected goals
4.46 – 1.39
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Bratislava W home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Z. Moravce-Vrable W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Bratislava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 86% / 8% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.46 goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 1.39 for Z. Moravce-Vrable W, a combined 5.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
14%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.6%
- 3–15.9%
- 5–15.9%
- 4–04.7%
- 4–24.6%
Recent form
Slovan Bratislava W
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)
Z. Moravce-Vrable W
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava W 2-0 Z. Moravce-Vrable W (I Liga - Women)
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 24 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Tatran Prešov W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Komárno W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 11 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 10 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -25 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -35 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava W win, at 85.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.