Austria · Landesliga - Wien · Wien - 2508:30
Slovan HACLLLLW

0 – 1

Sunday, 10 May 2026

Slovanplatz Hütteldorf · Analysis updated 10:47 UTC

Slovan HAC vs Dinamo Helfort Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.07 expected goals for Slovan HAC and 2.05 for Dinamo Helfort, a combined total of 3.12. That distribution gives Dinamo Helfort the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dinamo Helfort win

59.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.07 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan HAC home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dinamo Helfort to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 19% / 21% / 60% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.07 goals for Slovan HAC and 2.05 for Dinamo Helfort, a combined 3.12 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan HAC win19%
Draw21%
Dinamo Helfort win60%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 0–29.2%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–36.8%

Recent form

Slovan HAC

  • 2026-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vorwärts Brigittenau · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FAC Wien · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Red Star Penzing · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Helfort · 0-1 (L)

Dinamo Helfort

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Landesliga - Wien table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Wienerberg2822425470
    2Dinamo Helfort2718543059
    3LAC-Inter2816572153
    41980 Wien281297745
    5Red Star Penzing2612771043
    6First Vienna II2512672442
    7Austria XIII261088338
    8Gerasdorf Stammersdorf259610-733
    9Vorwärts Brigittenau279315-3430
    10Schwechat279216-429
    11Hellas Kagran287813-1929
    12Slovan HAC268315-1027
    13FAC Wien257513-726
    14Simmeringer SC275616-3321
    15Stadlau264715-1919
    16Mauerwerk11227-168

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dinamo Helfort win, at 59.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

    A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.