· Analysis updated 03:05 UTC
Slovan Halic vs Novohrad Lučenec Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for Slovan Halic and 1.63 for Novohrad Lučenec, a combined total of 2.99. That distribution gives Novohrad Lučenec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.1% probability
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.63
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Novohrad Lučenec away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Novohrad Lučenec to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 32% / 24% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.36 goals for Slovan Halic and 1.63 for Novohrad Lučenec, a combined 2.99 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–06.8%
Recent form
Slovan Halic
- 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Novohrad Lučenec · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Šašová · 1-2 (L)
Novohrad Lučenec
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fomat Martin · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Kalinovo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Medzibrod · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Banská Byst II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.