· Analysis updated 08:30 UTC
Slovan Kendice vs Tatran Prešov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Slovan Kendice and 1.58 for Tatran Prešov, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Slovan Kendice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.1% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Kendice home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tatran Prešov away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Kendice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Slovan Kendice and 1.58 for Tatran Prešov, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Slovan Kendice
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ostrovany · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Družstevník Odorín · 4-1 (W)
Tatran Prešov
- 2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Čadca · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Považská Bystrica · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava II · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.