Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · Group B - 1409:15

09:15 UTC

Saturday, 7 November 2026

· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC

Slovan Liberec II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Slovan Liberec II and 1.65 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Neratovice-Byškovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan Liberec II home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Neratovice-Byškovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 38% / 23% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Slovan Liberec II and 1.65 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Liberec II win38%
Draw23%
Neratovice-Byškovice win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

Slovan Liberec II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Horní Ředice · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Varnsdorf · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 0-4 (L)

Neratovice-Byškovice

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    3. liga - CFL B table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Mladá Boleslav II128222126
    2Jablonec II117311624
    3Sokol Zápy117311324
    4Benátky nad Jizerou12561921
    5Pardubice II105231117
    6Baník Souš11515716
    7Neratovice-Byškovice12444-216
    8Varnsdorf10433015
    9Čáslav11425-1014
    10Teplice II11416-313
    11Chrudim12345-1013
    12Slovan Liberec II11326-811
    13Hradec Králové II11245-310
    14Horní Ředice10307-139
    15Sokol Brozany11155-88
    16Velké Hamry12228-208

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

    A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.