· Analysis updated 09:56 UTC
Slovan Liberec II vs Teplice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Slovan Liberec II and 1.47 for Teplice II, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Slovan Liberec II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slovan Liberec II win
64.7% probability
Expected goals
2.78 – 1.47
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Liberec II home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Teplice II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Liberec II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 17% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.78 goals for Slovan Liberec II and 1.47 for Teplice II, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.1%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–26.0%
- 1–15.8%
- 3–25.5%
Recent form
Slovan Liberec II
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Varnsdorf · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
Teplice II
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Souš · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-01T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Jablonec II | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Baník Souš | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Varnsdorf | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Teplice II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hradec Králové II | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Liberec II win, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.