Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · Group B - 408:15

0 – 4

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Teplice IIWLLLL

· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC

Slovan Liberec II vs Teplice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Slovan Liberec II and 1.13 for Teplice II, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Slovan Liberec II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slovan Liberec II win

61.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan Liberec II home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Teplice II away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slovan Liberec II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.20 goals for Slovan Liberec II and 1.13 for Teplice II, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Liberec II win62%
Draw20%
Teplice II win19%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 3–17.2%

Recent form

Slovan Liberec II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Horní Ředice · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Chrudim · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Varnsdorf · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 0-4 (L)

Teplice II

  • 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mladá Boleslav II128222126
2Jablonec II117311624
3Sokol Zápy117311324
4Benátky nad Jizerou12561921
5Pardubice II105231117
6Baník Souš11515716
7Neratovice-Byškovice12444-216
8Varnsdorf10433015
9Čáslav11425-1014
10Teplice II11416-313
11Chrudim12345-1013
12Slovan Liberec II11326-811
13Hradec Králové II11245-310
14Horní Ředice10307-139
15Sokol Brozany11155-88
16Velké Hamry12228-208

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slovan Liberec II win, at 61.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.