· Analysis updated 07:10 UTC
Slovan Liberec U19 vs Dukla Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Slovan Liberec U19 and 1.83 for Dukla Praha U19, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Dukla Praha U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.3% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Liberec U19 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dukla Praha U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dukla Praha U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 22% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Slovan Liberec U19 and 1.83 for Dukla Praha U19, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–34.9%
Recent form
Slovan Liberec U19
- 2026-06-13T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-16T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 6-1 (W)
Dukla Praha U19
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.