Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 2208:00

2 – 2

Saturday, 18 April 2026

Zlín U19DLWDW

· Analysis updated 07:29 UTC

Slovan Liberec U19 vs Zlín U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Slovan Liberec U19 and 2.25 for Zlín U19, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Zlín U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Zlín U19 win

49.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan Liberec U19 home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zlín U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Zlín U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 30% / 20% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for Slovan Liberec U19 and 2.25 for Zlín U19, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slovan Liberec U19 win30%
Draw20%
Zlín U19 win50%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 1–28.1%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.3%
  • 1–36.1%

Recent form

Slovan Liberec U19

  • 2026-06-13T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 6-1 (W)

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Zlín U19 win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.