Stadium Hradek · Analysis updated 02:33 UTC
Slovan Liberec W vs Slovácko W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.65 expected goals for Slovan Liberec W and 1.21 for Slovácko W, a combined total of 3.86. That distribution gives Slovan Liberec W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slovan Liberec W win
68.0% probability
Expected goals
2.65 – 1.21
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Liberec W home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovácko W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Liberec W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 17% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.65 goals for Slovan Liberec W and 1.21 for Slovácko W, a combined 3.86 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–16.8%
- 3–06.5%
Recent form
Slovan Liberec W
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha W · 0-4 (L)
Slovácko W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha W · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Prague Raptors W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 27 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Slovácko W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 13 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 6 | Prague Raptors W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -29 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Liberec W win, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.