· Analysis updated 14:17 UTC
Slovan Sabinov vs Slávia TU Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.96 expected goals for Slovan Sabinov and 1.77 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives Slávia TU Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Slávia TU Košice win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slávia TU Košice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slávia TU Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 20% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.96 goals for Slovan Sabinov and 1.77 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 51%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.6%
- 1–111.1%
- 0–210.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–06.5%
Recent form
Slovan Sabinov
Slávia TU Košice
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Snina · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Medzev · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Raslavice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Poprad · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotíva Košice | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | Spartak Medzev | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Raslavice | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 | Stará Ľubovňa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Lipany | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Poprad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Partizán Bardejov | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Spišská Nová Ves | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Slávia TU Košice | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Snina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 10 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 6 |
| 14 | Kežmarok | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slávia TU Košice win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.