· Analysis updated 13:42 UTC
Slovan Tomášovce vs Komárno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Slovan Tomášovce and 1.56 for Komárno, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Komárno the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Tomášovce home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Komárno away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Komárno to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 34% / 24% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Slovan Tomášovce and 1.56 for Komárno, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.3%
Recent form
Slovan Tomášovce
- 2026-08-19T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Dudince · 2-3 (L)
- 2023-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 1-5 (L)
- 2023-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Dudince · 2-0 (W)
- 2022-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 1-1 (D)
Komárno
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Podbrezová · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Novohrad Lučenec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Skalica · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T15:15:00.000Z · Slovan Tomášovce 0-5 Komárno (Cup)
- 2023-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · Slovan Tomášovce 1-5 Komárno (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.