· Analysis updated 17:51 UTC
Smail vs Oman Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Smail and 1.94 for Oman Club, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Oman Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oman Club win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.94
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oman Club away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oman Club to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 32% / 22% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Smail and 1.94 for Oman Club, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 69%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Smail
Oman Club
- 2026-08-25T13:50:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fanja · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rustaq · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Saham · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FA Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oman Club win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.