· Analysis updated 19:12 UTC
Smouha SC vs Pyramids FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Smouha SC and 1.60 for Pyramids FC, a combined total of 2.52. That distribution gives Pyramids FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Pyramids FC win
53.3% probability
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Smouha SC home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pyramids FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.8%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–08.0%
Recent form
Smouha SC
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Geish · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ceramica Cleopatra · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-03T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahly · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Asyut Petrol · 0-0 (D)
Pyramids FC
- 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs EL Merriekh Bentiu · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs El Geish · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EL Merriekh Bentiu · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ceramica Cleopatra · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic El Qanah · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-20T17:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 1-2 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2026-02-04T15:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 2-1 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2025-02-07T14:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 0-1 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2024-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 2-3 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2024-06-13T16:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 0-3 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2023-06-28T18:30:00.000Z · Smouha SC 2-5 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2023-01-24T17:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 1-2 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2022-08-19T19:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 1-5 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2022-05-06T19:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 0-2 Pyramids FC (Premier League)
- 2021-09-24T17:00:00.000Z · Smouha SC 1-3 Pyramids FC (Cup)
League Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Masr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Future FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Pyramids FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Olympic El Qanah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | National Bank of Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Zamalek SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pyramids FC win, at 53.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.