Slovakia · 3. liga - East · East - 913:00
SninaDDDDD

3 – 3

Sunday, 4 October 2026

· Analysis updated 15:32 UTC

Snina vs Slávia TU Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Snina and 1.53 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Slávia TU Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Snina home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slávia TU Košice away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Snina win38%
Draw24%
Slávia TU Košice win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 1–07.2%

Recent form

Snina

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Košice · 0-0 (D)

Slávia TU Košice

  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Snina · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Medzev · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Raslavice · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Poprad · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2025-03-16T13:30:00.000Z · Snina 1-2 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2024-08-18T09:00:00.000Z · Snina 1-3 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2024-05-19T09:00:00.000Z · Snina 0-1 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2023-10-22T12:30:00.000Z · Snina 2-0 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2023-04-09T13:30:00.000Z · Snina 2-0 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2022-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · Snina 1-4 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2022-06-05T08:30:00.000Z · Snina 2-3 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2021-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · Snina 2-1 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)
  • 2020-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · Snina 1-2 Slávia TU Košice (3. liga - East)

3. liga - East table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotíva Košice106311321
2Spartak Medzev10613619
3Raslavice10613119
4Stará Ľubovňa10532918
5Lipany105231117
6Poprad10514416
7Partizán Bardejov10514116
8Spišská Nová Ves10514116
9MSK Tesla Stropkov10424414
10Slávia TU Košice10415113
11Snina10253-311
12Vranov nad Topľou10316-1510
13Slovan Sabinov10136-126
14Kežmarok10019-211

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.