Sochaux II vs Racing Besançon Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Sochaux II and 1.50 for Racing Besançon, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Racing Besançon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Racing Besançon win

48.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sochaux II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Racing Besançon away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Sochaux II win25%

Draw26%

Racing Besançon win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

0–112.3%
1–112.3%
0–29.2%
1–29.2%
0–08.2%

Recent form

Sochaux II

2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mulhouse · 3-2 (W)
2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Torcy · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Thonon Évian · 0-2 (L)
2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Strasbourg II · 3-1 (W)
2026-04-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Jura Dolois · 1-2 (L)

Racing Besançon

2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Torcy · 4-4 (D)
2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Thonon Évian · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Strasbourg II · 2-0 (W)
2026-04-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Jura Dolois · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Pontarlier · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · Sochaux II 3-2 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group F)
2025-12-20T16:00:00.000Z · Sochaux II 0-3 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group F)
2025-04-05T14:00:00.000Z · Sochaux II 1-2 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group H)
2024-11-23T17:00:00.000Z · Sochaux II 1-3 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group H)
2022-05-28T16:00:00.000Z · Sochaux II 0-0 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group E)
2022-02-06T13:30:00.000Z · Sochaux II 2-2 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group E)
2019-12-21T13:30:00.000Z · Sochaux II 4-3 Racing Besançon (National 3 - Group E)

National 3 - Group F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes II	26	15	6	5	22	51
2	Thonon Évian	26	13	7	6	12	46
3	Chalon	26	12	9	5	12	45
4	Racing Besançon	26	11	10	5	14	43
5	Jura Dolois	26	12	6	8	6	42
6	Torcy	26	10	7	9	2	37
7	Pontarlier	26	9	9	8	7	36
8	Ivry	26	9	8	9	-3	35
9	Thaon	26	9	5	12	2	32
10	Belfort	26	7	9	10	3	30
11	Mulhouse	26	8	6	12	-11	30
12	Strasbourg II	26	7	7	12	-20	28
13	Sochaux II	26	7	6	13	-7	27
14	Besançon	26	2	7	17	-39	13

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Racing Besançon win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.