Sochaux II vs Strasbourg II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.02 expected goals for Sochaux II and 1.22 for Strasbourg II, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives Sochaux II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sochaux II win

55.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sochaux II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sochaux II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 21% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.02 goals for Sochaux II and 1.22 for Strasbourg II, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 61%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Sochaux II win56%

Draw21%

Strasbourg II win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

2–19.7%
1–19.7%
2–08.0%
1–07.9%
3–16.6%

Recent form

Sochaux II

2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mulhouse · 3-2 (W)
2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Torcy · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Thonon Évian · 0-2 (L)
2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Strasbourg II · 3-1 (W)
2026-04-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Jura Dolois · 1-2 (L)

Strasbourg II

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National 3 - Group F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Troyes II	26	15	6	5	22	51
2	Thonon Évian	26	13	7	6	12	46
3	Chalon	26	12	9	5	12	45
4	Racing Besançon	26	11	10	5	14	43
5	Jura Dolois	26	12	6	8	6	42
6	Torcy	26	10	7	9	2	37
7	Pontarlier	26	9	9	8	7	36
8	Ivry	26	9	8	9	-3	35
9	Thaon	26	9	5	12	2	32
10	Belfort	26	7	9	10	3	30
11	Mulhouse	26	8	6	12	-11	30
12	Strasbourg II	26	7	7	12	-20	28
13	Sochaux II	26	7	6	13	-7	27
14	Besançon	26	2	7	17	-39	13

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sochaux II win, at 55.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.