· Analysis updated 15:01 UTC
Sohar vs Bahla Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Sohar and 1.05 for Bahla, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Sohar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sohar home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bahla away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sohar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 29% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Sohar and 1.05 for Bahla, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–112.1%
- 0–011.5%
- 2–17.5%
Recent form
Sohar
- 2026-10-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Musannah · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-24T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Seeb · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dhofar · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Fanja · 1-0 (W)
Bahla
- 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Seeb · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-24T13:50:00.000Z · H vs Dhofar · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-18T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Sur · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Professional League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.