Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · Group B - 714:30

2 – 2

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Hlavni stadion SK Sokol Brozany · Analysis updated 15:47 UTC

Sokol Brozany vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Sokol Brozany and 1.75 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Sokol Brozany the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sokol Brozany home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sokol Brozany to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 21% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Sokol Brozany and 1.75 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Sokol Brozany win44%
Draw21%
Neratovice-Byškovice win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 3–15.5%

Recent form

Sokol Brozany

  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 3-1 (W)

Neratovice-Byškovice

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-05-16T08:15:00.000Z · Sokol Brozany 1-1 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
    • 2025-10-19T12:30:00.000Z · Sokol Brozany 0-1 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
    • 2024-01-20T10:00:00.000Z · Sokol Brozany 1-2 Neratovice-Byškovice (Friendlies Clubs)

    3. liga - CFL B table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Sokol Zápy96301321
    2Jablonec II95311318
    3Mladá Boleslav II95221417
    4Benátky nad Jizerou8431715
    5Pardubice II8422814
    6Teplice II9414013
    7Baník Souš8404712
    8Varnsdorf8332012
    9Čáslav8323-611
    10Hradec Králové II9243-110
    11Horní Ředice7304-69
    12Neratovice-Byškovice9234-109
    13Sokol Brozany9153-48
    14Chrudim9144-87
    15Slovan Liberec II8125-115
    16Velké Hamry9117-164

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

    A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.