Stadion Vojtecha Zeithamla · Analysis updated 14:42 UTC
Sokol Hostouň vs Kladno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Sokol Hostouň and 1.18 for Kladno, a combined total of 3.69. That distribution gives Sokol Hostouň the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sokol Hostouň win
66.3% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sokol Hostouň home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kladno away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sokol Hostouň to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 18% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.51 goals for Sokol Hostouň and 1.18 for Kladno, a combined 3.69 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–06.6%
Recent form
Sokol Hostouň
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rapid Psáry · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Velvary · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Újezd Praha 4 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brandýs nad Labem · 4-2 (W)
Kladno
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · Sokol Hostouň 0-4 Kladno (Cup)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · Sokol Hostouň 0-0 Kladno (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · Sokol Hostouň 0-3 Kladno (3. liga - CFL A)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sokol Hostouň win, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.