Fotbalovy stadion Na Slajsi · Analysis updated 08:46 UTC
Sokol Lanžhot vs Nové Sady Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.11 expected goals for Sokol Lanžhot and 1.15 for Nové Sady, a combined total of 4.26. That distribution gives Sokol Lanžhot the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sokol Lanžhot win
76.1% probability
Expected goals
3.11 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sokol Lanžhot home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nové Sady away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sokol Lanžhot to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 13% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.11 goals for Sokol Lanžhot and 1.15 for Nové Sady, a combined 4.26 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
24%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.9%
- 3–07.1%
- 2–06.9%
- 4–16.3%
Recent form
Sokol Lanžhot
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozlovice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hluk · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Břeclav · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Holešov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brumov · 1-0 (W)
Nové Sady
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Strání · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bzenec · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 1-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 28 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sokol Lanžhot | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Slavičín | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | SK Krumvir | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Holešov | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Břeclav | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Kroměříž II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Brumov | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 7 |
| 15 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 16 | Baťov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -39 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sokol Lanžhot win, at 76.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.