· Analysis updated 17:47 UTC
Sokol Zápy vs Čáslav Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Sokol Zápy and 1.35 for Čáslav, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Sokol Zápy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sokol Zápy win
57.2% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sokol Zápy home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Čáslav away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sokol Zápy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Sokol Zápy and 1.35 for Čáslav, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–16.9%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.3%
Recent form
Sokol Zápy
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Čáslav · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Brozany · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Souš · 3-1 (W)
Čáslav
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Jablonec II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Zápy · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velké Hamry · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Jablonec II | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Baník Souš | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Varnsdorf | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Teplice II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hradec Králové II | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sokol Zápy win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.