Paraguay · Division Intermedia · Matchweek 1221:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 28 June 2026

Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni · Analysis updated 05:58 UTC

SOL DE America vs 12 de Junio VH Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for SOL DE America and 1.15 for 12 de Junio VH, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives 12 de Junio VH the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SOL DE America home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • 12 de Junio VH away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates 12 de Junio VH to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 32% / 29% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.03 goals for SOL DE America and 1.15 for 12 de Junio VH, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

SOL DE America win32%
Draw29%
12 de Junio VH win39%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–113.1%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 1–27.7%

Recent form

SOL DE America

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Paraguari AC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Capiata · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Independiente F.b.c. · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tacuary · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Tembetary · 1-1 (D)

12 de Junio VH

  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportivo Carapeguá · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-24T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Paraguari AC · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Encarnación · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Santani · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Fernando De La Mora · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division Intermedia table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1General Caballero2817562256
2Deportivo Santani2817382054
312 de Junio VH281495951
4Independiente F.b.c.2811107843
5Benjamín Aceval2812610542
6Sportivo Carapeguá2812610-542
7SOL DE America289145641
8Paraguari AC2812511341
9Resistencia289910-136
10Atlético Tembetary2810612-636
11Fernando De La Mora289712-834
12Deportivo Capiata2871110-432
133 de Noviembre287813-629
14Guairena FC287714-1328
15Tacuary2841212-1524
16Encarnación286418-1522

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.