Paraguay · Division Intermedia · Matchweek 2222:00

1 – 1

Thursday, 3 September 2026

Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni · Analysis updated 13:24 UTC

SOL DE America vs General Caballero Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.36 expected goals for SOL DE America and 1.38 for General Caballero, a combined total of 2.74. That distribution gives General Caballero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SOL DE America home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • General Caballero away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates General Caballero to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 26% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.36 goals for SOL DE America and 1.38 for General Caballero, a combined 2.74 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SOL DE America win37%
Draw26%
General Caballero win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.2%

Recent form

SOL DE America

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Paraguari AC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Capiata · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Independiente F.b.c. · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tacuary · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Tembetary · 1-1 (D)

General Caballero

  • 2026-10-19T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Encarnación · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Santani · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-05T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Fernando De La Mora · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T21:30:00.000Z · H vs 3 de Noviembre · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Paraguari AC · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division Intermedia table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Santani2918382257
2General Caballero2917572156
312 de Junio VH2915951154
4Paraguari AC3014511747
5SOL DE America3010155745
6Independiente F.b.c.3011109543
7Sportivo Carapeguá3012711-643
8Benjamín Aceval2912611442
9Resistencia2910910039
10Atlético Tembetary3010713-737
11Deportivo Capiata2981110-335
12Fernando De La Mora299713-1034
133 de Noviembre307914-830
14Guairena FC307815-1529
15Tacuary2951212-1427
16Encarnación307518-1426

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.