SOL DE America vs Resistencia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.26 expected goals for SOL DE America and 0.87 for Resistencia, a combined total of 2.13. That distribution gives SOL DE America the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

SOL DE America win

45.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

SOL DE America home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Resistencia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SOL DE America to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 29% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.26 goals for SOL DE America and 0.87 for Resistencia, a combined 2.13 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

SOL DE America win46%

Draw29%

Resistencia win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

1–015.0%
1–113.0%
0–011.9%
0–110.3%
2–09.4%

Recent form

SOL DE America

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Paraguari AC · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Capiata · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Independiente F.b.c. · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tacuary · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Tembetary · 1-1 (D)

Resistencia

2026-10-16T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Sportivo Carapeguá · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs 12 de Junio VH · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Encarnación · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Santani · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernando De La Mora · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division Intermedia table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Santani	29	18	3	8	22	57
2	General Caballero	29	17	5	7	21	56
3	12 de Junio VH	29	15	9	5	11	54
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	7	47
5	SOL DE America	30	10	15	5	7	45
6	Independiente F.b.c.	30	11	10	9	5	43
7	Sportivo Carapeguá	30	12	7	11	-6	43
8	Benjamín Aceval	29	12	6	11	4	42
9	Resistencia	29	10	9	10	0	39
10	Atlético Tembetary	30	10	7	13	-7	37
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	-3	35
12	Fernando De La Mora	29	9	7	13	-10	34
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	-8	30
14	Guairena FC	30	7	8	15	-15	29
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	-14	27
16	Encarnación	30	7	5	18	-14	26

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is SOL DE America win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.