Estadio Sol De Mayo · Analysis updated 08:27 UTC
Sol de Mayo vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Sol de Mayo and 1.13 for Juventud Unida Univ., a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Juventud Unida Univ. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
71.8% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sol de Mayo home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Juventud Unida Univ. away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.2%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–28.6%
Recent form
Sol de Mayo
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Circulo Deportivo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Costa Brava · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Juventud Unida Univ. · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Circulo Deportivo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Guillermo Brown · 0-2 (L)
Juventud Unida Univ.
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs San Martín Mendoza · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Sol de Mayo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Santamarina · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Costa Brava · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Rincon · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 0-1 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2025-08-03T18:15:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 0-3 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2024-09-01T18:00:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 1-1 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2022-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 0-0 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2022-04-24T18:30:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 0-1 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 0-0 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 2-1 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2020-02-10T00:30:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 0-1 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
- 2019-09-15T18:30:00.000Z · Sol de Mayo 5-0 Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A)
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.