· Analysis updated 14:36 UTC
Solingen-Wald vs Holzheimer SG Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Solingen-Wald and 2.00 for Holzheimer SG, a combined total of 5.50. That distribution gives Solingen-Wald the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Solingen-Wald win
66.0% probability
Expected goals
3.50 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Holzheimer SG away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Solingen-Wald to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 15% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.50 goals for Solingen-Wald and 2.00 for Holzheimer SG, a combined 5.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 90% and both teams to score at 83%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–15.8%
- 3–25.8%
- 4–15.1%
- 4–25.1%
- 2–15.0%
Recent form
Solingen-Wald
- 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Holzheimer SG · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-16T13:30:00.000Z · A vs SC St. Tönis · 2-3 (L)
Holzheimer SG
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs BW Dingden · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Büderich · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Schonnebeck · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Wuppertaler SV · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Germania Ratingen · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Niederrhein table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | BW Dingden | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | SF Baumberg | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Solingen-Wald | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | SC St. Tönis | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Germania Ratingen | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | Sonsbeck | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Monheim | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Wuppertaler SV | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Scherpenberg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 | Büderich | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 6 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -21 | 4 |
| 18 | Meerbusch | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Solingen-Wald win, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.