· Analysis updated 03:42 UTC
Solingen-Wald vs Schonnebeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Solingen-Wald and 3.15 for Schonnebeck, a combined total of 5.13. That distribution gives Schonnebeck the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Schonnebeck win
61.3% probability
Expected goals
1.97 – 3.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Solingen-Wald home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schonnebeck away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schonnebeck to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 23% / 16% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.97 goals for Solingen-Wald and 3.15 for Schonnebeck, a combined 5.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.1%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–25.8%
- 2–25.8%
- 1–44.8%
Recent form
Solingen-Wald
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SSVg Velbert · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KFC Uerdingen 05 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Meerbusch · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sonsbeck · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SW Essen · 3-2 (W)
Schonnebeck
- 2026-10-24T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SW Essen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Scherpenberg · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SF Baumberg · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Holzheimer SG · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Niederrhein table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schonnebeck | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 29 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | SF Baumberg | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Monheim | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | SC St. Tönis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Sonsbeck | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | BW Dingden | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Germania Ratingen | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Solingen-Wald | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Wuppertaler SV | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 14 | Scherpenberg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Büderich | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 16 | Meerbusch | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 17 | SW Essen | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Holzheimer SG | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -25 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Schonnebeck win, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.