Germany · Oberliga - Niederrhein · Niederrhein - 1114:30

14:30 UTC

Sunday, 25 October 2026

· Analysis updated 08:45 UTC

Solingen-Wald vs Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.54 expected goals for Solingen-Wald and 2.28 for Viktoria Jüchen-Garz., a combined total of 4.82. That distribution gives Solingen-Wald the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Solingen-Wald win

45.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.54 – 2.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Solingen-Wald home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Solingen-Wald to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 19% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.54 goals for Solingen-Wald and 2.28 for Viktoria Jüchen-Garz., a combined 4.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Solingen-Wald win45%
Draw19%
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals71%
Both teams to score83%

Correct score

  • 2–26.8%
  • 2–15.9%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 1–25.3%
  • 2–35.1%

Recent form

Solingen-Wald

  • 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SSVg Velbert · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KFC Uerdingen 05 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Meerbusch · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sonsbeck · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SW Essen · 3-2 (W)

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.

  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Scherpenberg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SF Baumberg · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs SC St. Tönis · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Holzheimer SG · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Niederrhein table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Schonnebeck119202729
2SSVg Velbert108021124
3Fortuna Düsseldorf II116321221
4Monheim11533718
5SC St. Tönis11533518
6Sonsbeck10442416
7SF Baumberg10442216
8BW Dingden10514016
9Solingen-Wald10505-415
10KFC Uerdingen 0511425814
11Germania Ratingen10352114
12Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.10424-114
13Wuppertaler SV10415513
14Scherpenberg10226-138
15Büderich10145-147
16SW Essen11137-146
17Meerbusch10127-145
18Holzheimer SG10118-224

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Solingen-Wald win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.