· Analysis updated 04:40 UTC
Solomon Kings vs Bula Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Solomon Kings and 1.33 for Bula, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Solomon Kings the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Solomon Kings win
47.6% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Solomon Kings home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bula away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Solomon Kings to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 23% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Solomon Kings and 1.33 for Bula, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–07.0%
Recent form
Solomon Kings
- 2026-05-13T03:00:00.000Z · H vs Hekari United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-10T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Vanuatu United · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-07T03:00:00.000Z · H vs Tahiti United · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-17T03:00:00.000Z · A vs South Island United · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-14T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Vanuatu United · 3-2 (W)
Bula
- 2026-05-17T03:00:00.000Z · H vs Vanuatu United · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-12T03:00:00.000Z · A vs South Melbourne · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T02:30:00.000Z · A vs Auckland FC 2 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-06T03:00:00.000Z · H vs South Island United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Auckland FC 2 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
OFC Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Melbourne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hekari United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Vanuatu United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | South Island United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Tahiti United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Solomon Kings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Solomon Kings win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.