Stadion FC Solothurn · Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
Solothurn vs Old Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.22 expected goals for Solothurn and 1.68 for Old Boys, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Solothurn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Solothurn win
50.5% probability
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Solothurn home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Old Boys away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Solothurn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.22 goals for Solothurn and 1.68 for Old Boys, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.3%
- 3–16.2%
Recent form
Solothurn
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Münsingen · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Courtételle · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia Basel · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Delémont · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Langenthal · 2-3 (L)
Old Boys
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaufdorf · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornach · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Basel II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Courtételle · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Delémont · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langenthal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Schötz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Courtételle | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Concordia Basel | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Delémont | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Muttenz | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Solothurn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Grasshopper II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Buochs | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Muri-Gümligen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Thun II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Wohlen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Bassecourt | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Zug | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Black Stars | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Münsingen | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Solothurn win, at 50.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.