Songkhla vs Chanthaburi Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Songkhla and 1.03 for Chanthaburi, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Songkhla the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Songkhla win

53.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Songkhla home form
2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Chanthaburi away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Songkhla to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 24% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Songkhla and 1.03 for Chanthaburi, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Songkhla win54%

Draw24%

Chanthaburi win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–011.0%
2–19.7%
2–09.5%
0–16.6%

Recent form

Songkhla

2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Phrae United · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Chumphon United · 6-3 (W)
2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chiangmai United · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Esan Pattaya · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Chainat · 0-2 (L)

Chanthaburi

2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Police Tero · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Pattani · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Songkhla · 1-1 (D)
2026-03-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nakhon Si Thammarat · 1-1 (D)
2026-03-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sisaket United · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Thai League 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Khon Kaen United	7	5	0	2	6	15
2	Uttaradit	8	4	3	1	5	15
3	Nong Bua Pitchaya	8	4	2	2	6	14
4	Satun	8	4	2	2	5	14
5	Chainat	7	4	1	2	2	13
6	Phrae United	8	3	2	3	0	11
7	Kanchanaburi	7	2	4	1	2	10
8	Chiangmai United	7	3	1	3	1	10
9	Police Tero	7	3	1	3	0	10
10	Nakhon Pathom	8	2	4	2	-3	10
11	Muang Loei United	7	2	3	2	3	9
12	Chanthaburi	7	2	3	2	3	9
13	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	7	2	3	2	0	9
14	Muangthong United	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Esan Pattaya	7	2	2	3	-6	8
16	Songkhla	8	1	4	3	-2	7
17	Mahasarakham United	8	0	4	4	-9	4
18	Kasetsart FC	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Songkhla win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.