Športový areál ŠK Šoporňa · Analysis updated 16:35 UTC
Šoporňa vs Slovan Duslo Šaľa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Šoporňa and 1.53 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Slovan Duslo Šaľa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Šoporňa home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Duslo Šaľa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Duslo Šaľa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 34% / 25% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Šoporňa and 1.53 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.6%
Recent form
Šoporňa
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Boleráz · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-01-31T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Galanta · 0-8 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dolné Krškany · 1-2 (L)
- 2024-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Duslo Šaľa · 2-3 (L)
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nitra · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs DAC II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Častkovce · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2024-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · Šoporňa 2-3 Slovan Duslo Šaľa (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.