· Analysis updated 14:48 UTC
Sopron vs Szegedi VSE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.96 expected goals for Sopron and 1.35 for Szegedi VSE, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives Sopron the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sopron win
51.9% probability
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Szegedi VSE away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sopron to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 22% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.96 goals for Sopron and 1.35 for Szegedi VSE, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–26.5%
Recent form
Sopron
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 1-3 (L)
Szegedi VSE
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Csepel · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ESMTK · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs III. Kerületi TUE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyulai Termál · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sopron · 3-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sopron win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.