Hungary · NB II · Regular Season - 515:30
SoroksarWWDW

15:30 UTC

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 01:55 UTC

Soroksar vs Szentlőrinc SE Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Soroksar and 0.67 for Szentlőrinc SE, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Soroksar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Soroksar to Win

49.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Soroksar win50%
Draw30%
Szentlőrinc SE win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score35%

Correct score

  • 1–018.4%
  • 0–015.0%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 2–011.3%
  • 0–110.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Soroksar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 30% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.23 goals for Soroksar and 0.67 for Szentlőrinc SE, a combined 1.90 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 35%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.

  • Model confidence

    Soroksar to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Soroksar

    Szentlőrinc SE

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Soroksar4310610
      2Gyirmot SE4310410
      3Kazincbarcikai422038
      4Kecskeméti TE421107
      5Fehérvár FC420226
      6Ajka312025
      7Tiszakecske FC312015
      8Szentlőrinc SE211014
      9Diosgyori VTK3111-34
      10Karcag SE303003
      11Csakvar3102-13
      12Mezokovesd-zsory3102-13
      13Nagykanizsai ULE4103-23
      14Szeged 20113012-21
      15BVSC3012-21
      16Kozarmisleny FC4004-80

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.