Straume Fotballhall · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Sotra vs Træff Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Sotra and 1.40 for Træff, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Sotra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sotra home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Træff away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sotra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Sotra and 1.40 for Træff, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Sotra
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Halden · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brattvåg · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Pors Grenland · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sogndal · 1-1 (D)
Træff
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Halden · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bjarg · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs hodd · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 56 |
| 2 | Bjarg | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 50 |
| 4 | Brattvåg | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Sotra | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 42 |
| 6 | Notodden | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Kvik Halden | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 34 |
| 8 | Træff | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -7 | 34 |
| 9 | Arendal | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -20 | 19 |
| 13 | Vidar | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -40 | 13 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | -31 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.