Soy United vs Kabati Youth FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Soy United and 0.60 for Kabati Youth FC, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Soy United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Soy United win

53.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 0.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Soy United home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kabati Youth FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soy United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 29% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Soy United and 0.60 for Kabati Youth FC, a combined 1.90 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Soy United win54%

Draw29%

Kabati Youth FC win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score33%

Correct score

1–019.4%
0–015.0%
2–012.6%
1–111.7%
0–19.0%

Recent form

Soy United

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Luanda Villa · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MOFA · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Equity Bank · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisumu All Stars · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabati Youth FC · 2-1 (W)

Kabati Youth FC

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs MOFA · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Naivas · 2-1 (W)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nairobi City Stars · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Luanda Villa · 5-0 (W)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Soy United · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · Soy United 2-1 Kabati Youth FC (Super League)
2025-12-18T12:00:00.000Z · Soy United 1-2 Kabati Youth FC (Super League)

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sofapaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nairobi City Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kariobangi Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nzoia Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Naivas	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kibera Black Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Talanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fortune Sacco	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Soy United	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Equity Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Luanda Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	MOFA	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Kibera Soccer	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Gucha Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Mfalme	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kiminini Combined	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	BB FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Spitfire FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Soy United win, at 53.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.