Soy United vs Kisumu All Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Soy United and 0.55 for Kisumu All Stars, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Soy United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Soy United win

57.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 0.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Soy United home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kisumu All Stars away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soy United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 28% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Soy United and 0.55 for Kisumu All Stars, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Soy United win57%

Draw28%

Kisumu All Stars win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score32%

Correct score

1–020.1%
0–014.6%
2–013.8%
1–111.0%
0–18.0%

Recent form

Soy United

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Luanda Villa · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MOFA · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Equity Bank · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisumu All Stars · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabati Youth FC · 2-1 (W)

Kisumu All Stars

2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vihiga United FC · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Darajani Gogo · 1-2 (L)
2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Migori Youth · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Soy United · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs MOFA · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-28T12:00:00.000Z · Soy United 0-0 Kisumu All Stars (Super League)
2025-10-26T12:00:00.000Z · Soy United 0-0 Kisumu All Stars (Super League)

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sofapaka	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nairobi City Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kariobangi Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Nzoia Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Naivas	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kibera Black Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Talanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fortune Sacco	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Soy United	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Equity Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Luanda Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	MOFA	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Kibera Soccer	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Gucha Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Mfalme	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Kiminini Combined	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	BB FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Spitfire FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Soy United win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.