· Analysis updated 16:05 UTC
Sparta Praha U19 vs Zlín U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.62 expected goals for Sparta Praha U19 and 1.61 for Zlín U19, a combined total of 5.23. That distribution gives Sparta Praha U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sparta Praha U19 win
74.2% probability
Expected goals
3.62 – 1.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sparta Praha U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zlín U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.8%
- 4–16.2%
- 2–15.6%
- 3–25.5%
- 4–25.0%
Recent form
Sparta Praha U19
- 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 1-2 (L)
Zlín U19
- 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 6-0 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 3-3 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 0-4 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2025-05-03T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 2-0 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2024-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 0-5 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2024-06-08T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 1-4 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2024-02-21T12:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 2-2 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2023-04-15T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 2-1 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2022-09-17T11:30:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 1-2 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
- 2022-04-23T11:00:00.000Z · Sparta Praha U19 3-1 Zlín U19 (1. Liga U19)
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Opava U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice U19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Dukla Praha U19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha U19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Pardubice U19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Slovácko U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karviná U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Zlín U19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 16 | Slavia Praha U19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sparta Praha U19 win, at 74.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.