Stadium Prosek · Analysis updated 03:36 UTC
Sparta Praha W vs Prague Raptors W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Sparta Praha W and 0.72 for Prague Raptors W, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Sparta Praha W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sparta Praha W win
76.3% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 0.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sparta Praha W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Praha W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 15% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.51 goals for Sparta Praha W and 0.72 for Prague Raptors W, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 47%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
24%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.4%
- 3–010.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–17.5%
Recent form
Sparta Praha W
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 2-3 (L)
Prague Raptors W
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 27 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Slovácko W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 13 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 6 | Prague Raptors W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -29 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sparta Praha W win, at 76.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.