· Analysis updated 14:18 UTC
Spartak Myjava W vs Hammarby W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Spartak Myjava W and 1.45 for Hammarby W, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives Spartak Myjava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Spartak Myjava W win
63.9% probability
Expected goals
2.70 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartak Myjava W home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Spartak Myjava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 17% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for Spartak Myjava W and 1.45 for Hammarby W, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–16.2%
- 2–26.0%
- 2–05.8%
Recent form
Spartak Myjava W
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PAOK W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PAOK W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 8-0 (W)
Hammarby W
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rangers W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Rangers W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK W · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Spartak Myjava W win, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.