Football pitch Spartak Pribram · Analysis updated 13:16 UTC
Spartak Pribram vs Písek Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.37 expected goals for Spartak Pribram and 1.24 for Písek, a combined total of 3.61. That distribution gives Spartak Pribram the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Spartak Pribram win
62.5% probability
Expected goals
2.37 – 1.24
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartak Pribram home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Písek away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Spartak Pribram to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 19% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.37 goals for Spartak Pribram and 1.24 for Písek, a combined 3.61 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Spartak Pribram
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 2-3 (L)
Písek
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia III · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Spartak Pribram win, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.