Football pitch Spartak Pribram · Analysis updated 14:48 UTC
Spartak Pribram vs Spartak Soběslav Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.03 expected goals for Spartak Pribram and 1.75 for Spartak Soběslav, a combined total of 4.78. That distribution gives Spartak Pribram the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Spartak Pribram win
63.4% probability
Expected goals
3.03 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartak Pribram home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Soběslav away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Spartak Pribram to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 16% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.03 goals for Spartak Pribram and 1.75 for Spartak Soběslav, a combined 4.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.8%
- 2–16.8%
- 3–26.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 4–15.2%
Recent form
Spartak Pribram
- 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 3-1 (W)
Spartak Soběslav
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Milevsko · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Petřín Plzeň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Komárov | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hořovicko | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Táborsko II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Spartak Pribram win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.