Stadium Sobeslav · Analysis updated 12:16 UTC
Spartak Soběslav vs Doubravka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Spartak Soběslav and 2.20 for Doubravka, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Doubravka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Doubravka win
51.0% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartak Soběslav home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Doubravka away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.3%
Recent form
Spartak Soběslav
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Milevsko · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 3-2 (W)
Doubravka
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Petřín Plzeň · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hořovicko · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 3-1 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2025-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 5-4 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2025-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 2-0 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2024-10-05T14:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 5-0 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2024-04-27T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 2-1 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2023-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 2-0 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2023-04-01T14:30:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 2-0 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2022-09-03T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 1-3 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2022-04-09T14:30:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 1-1 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
- 2021-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Spartak Soběslav 0-1 Doubravka (4. liga - Divizie A)
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Petřín Plzeň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Komárov | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hořovicko | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Táborsko II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Doubravka win, at 51.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.