· Analysis updated 16:35 UTC
Spartakos Kitiou vs Digenis Ypsonas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Spartakos Kitiou and 1.07 for Digenis Ypsonas, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Spartakos Kitiou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Spartakos Kitiou win
56.9% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartakos Kitiou home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Digenis Ypsonas away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Spartakos Kitiou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 22% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Spartakos Kitiou and 1.07 for Digenis Ypsonas, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.3%
Recent form
Spartakos Kitiou
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs MEAP Nisou · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Polemidion · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahironas / Onisilos · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Halkanoras · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs APEA · 0-4 (L)
Digenis Ypsonas
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Omonia Nicosia · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aris · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Omonia Aradippou · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Omonia 29is Maiou · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Enosis · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Spartakos Kitiou win, at 56.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.