Stadionul Suruceni · Analysis updated 19:36 UTC
Spartanii Selemet vs Univer Comrat Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Spartanii Selemet and 2.45 for Univer Comrat, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives Univer Comrat the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Univer Comrat win
58.7% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 2.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartanii Selemet home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Univer Comrat away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Univer Comrat to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 22% / 19% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Spartanii Selemet and 2.45 for Univer Comrat, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.7%
- 1–17.1%
- 1–37.1%
- 2–26.5%
- 0–25.9%
Recent form
Spartanii Selemet
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vulturii Cutezători · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FCM Ungheni · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zimbru II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Univer Comrat · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Univer Comrat · 1-6 (L)
Univer Comrat
- 2026-10-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Iskra · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartanii Selemet · 5-4 (W)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vulturii Cutezători · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FCM Ungheni · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zimbru II · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · Spartanii Selemet 0-3 Univer Comrat (Cupa)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · Spartanii Selemet 1-6 Univer Comrat (Liga 1)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Univer Comrat win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.