Stadionul Suruceni · Analysis updated 07:01 UTC
Spartanii Selemet vs Vulturii Cutezători Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Spartanii Selemet and 4.50 for Vulturii Cutezători, a combined total of 6.10. That distribution gives Vulturii Cutezători the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vulturii Cutezători win
83.2% probability
Expected goals
1.60 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spartanii Selemet home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vulturii Cutezători away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vulturii Cutezători to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 8% / 9% / 83% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Spartanii Selemet and 4.50 for Vulturii Cutezători, a combined 6.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
17%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
92%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.1%
- 1–55.5%
- 1–35.4%
- 2–44.9%
- 2–54.4%
Recent form
Spartanii Selemet
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vulturii Cutezători · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FCM Ungheni · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zimbru II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Univer Comrat · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Univer Comrat · 1-6 (L)
Vulturii Cutezători
- 2026-09-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Oguzsport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zimbru II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Univer Comrat · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartanii Selemet · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vulturii Cutezători | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 |
| 1 | Oguzsport | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Iskra | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Stăuceni | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | FC National Ialoveni | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Univer Comrat | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Făleşti | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 5 | Zimbru II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 5 | Victoria Bardar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 6 | Spartanii Selemet | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -28 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vulturii Cutezători win, at 83.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.
A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.