· Analysis updated 13:12 UTC
Spelle-Venhaus vs Eintracht Braunschw. II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Spelle-Venhaus and 2.60 for Eintracht Braunschw. II, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschw. II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Braunschw. II win
52.8% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Spelle-Venhaus home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Braunschw. II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Braunschw. II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 29% / 19% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Spelle-Venhaus and 2.60 for Eintracht Braunschw. II, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Spelle-Venhaus
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Germania Egestorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunschw. II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Heeslinger SC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lüneburger SK Hansa · 2-2 (D)
Eintracht Braunschw. II
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordhorn · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spelle-Venhaus · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Germania Egestorf · 8-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bersenbrück · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Niedersachsen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heeslinger SC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Eintracht Braunschw. II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Wilhelmshaven | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Borussia Hildesheim | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Spelle-Venhaus | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Bersenbrück | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Meppen II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Nordhorn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 11 |
| 11 | Verden 04 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Germania Egestorf | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 13 | Hemmingen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 14 | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Vorsfelde | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 5 |
| 16 | Drochtersen/Assel II | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Braunschw. II win, at 52.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.